Questions

`Dutch'-Auction Format to Be Adopted By the Treasury in More Sales of Issues
Wall Street Journal; New York; Oct 27, 1998; By Henry J. Pulizzi and Jonathan Nicholson;

Abstract:
The Treasury, ending a longstanding debate, is expected to adopt the "Dutch," or single-price, auction format for sales of 10-year notes and 30-year bonds, according to people familiar with the matter.

Deputy Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers appeared to endorse such a move yesterday, saying an updated study of auction methods showed "uniform-price auctions can allow the Treasury to make improvements in the efficiency of market operations and reduce the costs of financing the federal debt."

WASHINGTON -- The Treasury, ending a longstanding debate, is expected to adopt the "Dutch," or single-price, auction format for sales of 10-year notes and 30-year bonds, according to people familiar with the matter.

Deputy Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers appeared to endorse such a move yesterday, saying an updated study of auction methods showed "uniform-price auctions can allow the Treasury to make improvements in the efficiency of market operations and reduce the costs of financing the federal debt."

A Treasury spokesman wouldn't comment directly but said details may be announced at tomorrow's news conference for the department's regular quarterly refunding. At the previous briefing in August, Treasury officials said the format issue would be decided "in connection with the November refunding."

Auctions of shorter-maturity Treasury bills are also expected to be switched to the Dutch auction method, people familiar with the matter said.

In a single-price auction, successful bidders pay only the price of the lowest accepted bid, while in a multiple-price auction, successful bidders pay the price they bid. The multiple-price auction gives an incentive to bidders to lower their bids in order to avoid a "winner's curse," that is, buying the securities at a price higher than the lowest possible one.

Mr. Summers said the study showed that uniform-price auctions produce "a broader distribution of auction awards." The department has been experimenting with single-price auctions in two- and five-year notes since 1992.

Treasury officials should "get all of the coupon auctions on the same footing," said veteran Treasury watcher Louis Crandall, chief economist with R.H. Wrightson & Associates. "Auctions on consecutive days with different formats seem unnecessary."

But he said the change won't make a substantial difference to buyers. "What it will do is it takes away a few trading strategies," he said.



Treasury Yields May Ease as U.S. Changes Auction System; Investing: New method is likely to slightly reduce rates. Meanwhile, Savings Bond purchases will get easier.
The Los Angeles Times; Los Angeles, Calif.; Oct 29, 1998; KATHY M. KRISTOF;

Abstract:
The U.S. Treasury Department announced two changes Wednesday that are likely to lead to lower yields on government securities while also making Savings Bonds easier to buy.

The Treasury, which plans to auction $38 billion in notes and bonds next week in the government's regular quarterly financing, said Wednesday that it will conduct all future government securities sales based on a so-called Dutch auction, or single-price, format.

And because individual investors who have bought bonds directly from the government through the so-called Treasury Direct program have been used to getting the average price paid by all purchasers, the old system may have allowed for slightly better yields for individuals.

The U.S. Treasury Department announced two changes Wednesday that are likely to lead to lower yields on government securities while also making Savings Bonds easier to buy.

The Treasury, which plans to auction $38 billion in notes and bonds next week in the government's regular quarterly financing, said Wednesday that it will conduct all future government securities sales based on a so-called Dutch auction, or single-price, format.

That means each bond offering will be sold at the single highest yield needed to sell all of the securities.

That turns the current market system, which for many Treasury securities allows different bidders to buy at different yields within a fairly narrow range, on its head.

In effect, it nullifies the ability of big institutional investors to use their buying clout to get a better yield.

And because individual investors who have bought bonds directly from the government through the so-called Treasury Direct program have been used to getting the average price paid by all purchasers, the old system may have allowed for slightly better yields for individuals.

Now that loss of bargaining power by the big boys could result in lower yields for small investors, as everyone gets the same yield.

The hit is likely to be modest--a matter of a few basis points, industry experts predict.

(Each basis point equals 1/100 of a percentage point. A 3-basis-point difference, for example, would mean a yield of 5.00% rather than 5.03%.)

"The difference might work out to a basis point or a half a basis point," said David Ballantine, vice president of Payden & Rygel, a Los Angeles investment firm.

"The impact on the individual investor is going to be relatively minimal," he said.

Richard Lehmann, publisher of the Income Securities Advisor, a Miami Lakes, Fla.-based newsletter for fixed-income investors, says the cost could be more significant--in the range of 10 to 15 basis points. Still, that "cost" to investors benefits taxpayers.

"Most of these investors can well afford it," Lehmann said.

He added that Treasuries are increasingly being snapped up by institutional buyers in foreign countries. "If our taxpayers benefit because foreign investors have to pay a little more, all the better."

In general, thanks to the huge budget surplus, Uncle Sam is borrowing a lot less money, which is good news for taxpayers but bad for savers in that it helps keep downward pressure on interest rates.

In a second change announced Wednesday, the Treasury said that starting Monday, U.S. Savings Bond buyers will be able to make automatic purchases through bank account withdrawals.

In the past, investors had two options when they wanted to buy Savings Bonds. They could purchase them through a bank or broker, or, if their company offered it, they could get them through payroll deductions. But only about 45 million Americans work for companies with such payroll deduction plans, said Pete Hollenback, a spokesman for the U.S. Treasury.

But starting next week, the Treasury will offer the so-called EasySaver Plan. This will allow individuals to authorize the Treasury to deduct set amounts from their checking accounts each month to buy Savings Bonds.

Those who wish to set up an account can call (877) 811-SAVE or download a form from the Treasury's Web site at http://www.easysaver.gov.

It takes about four weeks to set up the account. After that, the Treasury will begin debiting your bank account the designated amount and sending you the bonds you requested.

Two types of Savings Bonds are available through this program: the Series EE, which sell for half their face value in denominations ranging from $50 to $1,000, and inflation-indexed Savings Bonds, which sell for their face value.


Questions:

  1. The two articles on the issue concentrate on different aspects: the WSJ article emphasizes the implications for the Treasury in terms of the advantages to the Treasury, while the LA Times looks at how the change would affect non-competitive bidders.  Briefly explain the two implications.
  2. What is the winner's curse, and how does it apply in this case?  (Read more about the Winner's Curse in the Slate article)
  3. Look at the average yields of Treasury bills from 1990 to the present.  Can you see any difference in the yields after the change in the auciotn method?
  4. Should it matter for the Treasury whether the buyers of the bills are foreigners or US citizens?  Why or why not?