Some Find Appeal in Foreign Small-Caps
Investors who want to diversify their portfolios by investing in international stocks should look at small companies, according to Robert Treich, who heads a team at Pictet International Management that specializes in international stocks with small market capitalizations.
That's because the stocks of large international companies, whether it is Nokia Corp. or Toyota Motor Corp., move more and more in tandem with their U.S. peers. The big companies share the same global marketplace, and increasingly feel the effects of the same ups and downs.
But this lockstep movement doesn't seem to apply to smaller companies, which also are getting a boost outside the U.S. from the rising number of venture-capital firms that are emerging to fund start-up companies, Mr. Treich said.
"Before, if you were a smart person in Europe, you could do one of two things -- go work for Nokia or move to the States," said Mr. Treich, whose London-based team manages roughly $1 billion in small-cap assets for institutional and wealthy individual investors in Europe, Canada and the U.S. "Now you can start your own company in Europe and get funding."
The value of venture-capital investment in Europe hit a record in 2000, and additional funding for small companies should eventually reach Japan, though it will be a long time before the venture-capital culture takes root in Asia, the fund manager said.
Also boosting the appeal of international investing is the expectation that the European economy this year will grow faster than the U.S. economy for the first time in a decade. The euro appears to be stabilizing after last year's steep decline against the dollar, which knocked several points off the performance of European mutual funds for U.S.-based investors.
Mr. Treich's team, part of the asset-management unit of Pictet & Cie., a 200-year-old Swiss private bank, successfully took advantage of the rise in the European small-cap sector the past two years by selecting companies using a bottom-up approach. Pictet doesn't hedge currencies, preferring instead to focus on stock picking.
Pictet International Small Companies Fund, with $26 million in assets, returned 6.6% last year, beating 98% of its peers, according to fund tracker Morningstar Inc. The fund was up 86% in 1999, ranking at the top 9% of its category. So far this year, the fund is down 9.8%, according to Morningstar.
The fund, which generally invests in companies whose capitalization, or market price times shares outstanding, is less than $2 billion, currently has 72% of its assets invested in Europe and 22% in Asia. Another 3% is in cash.
Mr. Treich is bullish on France, and has roughly a quarter of the team's portfolio invested in that country. He thinks France has a "very investor-friendly" small-cap market with a broad range of companies to pick from and ample liquidity. The country's macroeconomic conditions, with high consumer confidence and falling unemployment, also bode well for investors.
One example of Pictet's recent pick in France is Marionnaud Parfumeries, a perfume retailer. The company has aggressively bought smaller retailers and brand owners and created an efficient distribution channel in a traditionally fragmented market. It is now looking to enter Italy with a similar strategy, Mr. Treich said.
Meanwhile, Mr. Treich hopes to bring up the fund's weighting in Germany significantly from the current 11%, but he still sees too much risk there at the moment. "They are too reliant on export growth, and clearly things are slowing down," he said.
Pictet has been cutting its position in the United Kingdom. Mr. Treich feels the valuation of British companies has now become too high, and earnings warnings by some companies have provided a catalyst for unwinding some holdings. "We have trouble finding good things there," he said.
In Asia, Pictet has raised its weighting on Japan slightly to 14%, still lower than its normal allocation. The company's target is the consumer area that represents more than 60% of the economy. Joint Corp., a condominium builder in Tokyo, is one company that became part of the fund's portfolio recently.
While Mr. Treich still doesn't think recovery is imminent in Japan, he is positioned "just in case," so he won't miss out once it starts. "When something significant happens in Japan, it goes very quickly," the manager said.
2. (30 points) The following is the correlation matrix between the returns on three stocks, computed using recent historical data (Source: Optimization Technology Center, http://www-fp.mcs.anl.gov/otc/Guide/CaseStudies/port/index.html).
AT&T | JP Morgan | Walt Disney | |
---|---|---|---|
AT&T | 1.0 | 0.47 | 0.44 |
JP Morgan | 0.47 | 1.0 | 0.55 |
Walt Disney | 0.44 | 0.55 | 1.0 |
The standard deviation of returns (measured using monthly data for the years 1996-2000; data source http://www.yahoo.com) on the three stocks is 11.29% for AT&T (ticker symbol T), 10.94% for JP Morgan Chase (JPM) and 8.9% for Walt Disney (DIS). What would be the variance of returns on a portfolio consisting of 50% in AT&T, 30% in JPM and 20% in DIS?
3. (20 points) The 10-K405 report filed by AMR Corporation on March 27, 2000 (http://www.10kwizard.com) with the SEC contained the following information on the firm's operating leases, its assets and liabilities, and its revenues and expenses. Compute the capitalized value of the Operating Leases for 1999, and make the necessary adjustments to Operating Income for 1999.
The major part of AMR's debt constitutes secured variable and fixed rate indebtedness due through 2015, with effective rates from 6.232% - 9.597% (as of December 31, 1999). Since the operating lease obligations are probably fixed rate and probably date from several years ago, the cost of debt that would be appropriate to capitalize them would be closer to the higher number (since interest rates have been dropping in the last few years); in any case, assume that the operating lease expenses are to be capitalized using a before-tax cost of debt of 9.597%.
You may also make the simplifying assumption that Damodaran suggests, i.e. that the interest expense on the debt created by converting operating leases will be equal to the difference between the operating lease expense and the depreciation of the asset created by the operating leases (p.91). Assume as well that the operating leases run through the end of 2016, and that the minimum annual required lease payments are equal for 2005 and beyond.
_________________________________________
LEASES
AMR's subsidiaries lease various types of equipment and property, including aircraft and airport and off-airport facilities. The future minimum lease payments required under capital leases, together with the present value of net minimum lease payments, and future minimum lease payments required under operating leases that have initial or remaining non-cancelable lease terms in excess of one year as of December 31, 1999, were (in millions):
Capital Operating Year Ending December 31, Leases Leases -------------- -------------- 2000 $ 347 $ 1,015 2001 329 1,006 2002 280 952 2003 198 965 2004 249 954 2005 and subsequent 1,081 12,169 ------------- ------------- 2,484(1) $ 17,061(2) ========
Less amount representing interest 637 -------------
Present value of net minimum lease payments $ 1,847 =========
(1) Future minimum payments required under capital leases include $187 million guaranteed by AMR relating to special facility revenue bonds issued by municipalities. (2) Future minimum payments required under operating leases include $6.5 billion guaranteed by AMR relating to special facility revenue bonds issued by municipalities.
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY | ||
CURRENT LIABILITIES | ||
Accounts payable | $1,115 | $1,047 |
Accrued salaries and wages | 849 | 917 |
Accrued liabilities | 1,107 | 973 |
Air traffic liability | 2,255 | 2,163 |
Current maturities of long-term debt | 302 | 48 |
Current obligations under capital leases | 236 | 154 |
------------ | ------------ | |
Total current liabilities | 5,864 | 5,302 |
LONG-TERM DEBT, LESS CURRENT MATURITIES | 4,078 | 2,436 |
OBLIGATIONS UNDER CAPITAL LEASES, | ||
LESS CURRENT OBLIGATIONS | 1,611 | 1,764 |
OTHER LIABILITIES AND CREDITS | ||
Deferred income taxes | 1,846 | 1,470 |
Deferred gains | 613 | 573 |
Postretirement benefits | 1,669 | 1,598 |
Other liabilities and deferred credits | 1,835 | 1,614 |
------------ | ------------ | |
5,963 | 5,255 | |
STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY | ||
Common stock - $1 par value; shares authorized: 750,000,000; | ||
Shares issued: 1999 and 1998 - 182,278,766 | 182 | 182 |
Additional paid-in capital | 3,061 | 3,075 |
Treasury shares at cost: 1999 - 34,034,110; 1998 - 20,927,692 | -2,101 | -1,288 |
Accumulated other comprehensive income | -2 | -4 |
Retained earnings | 5,718 | 4,733 |
------------ | ------------ | |
6,858 | 6,698 | |
------------ | ------------ | |
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY | $24,374 | $21,455 |
============ | ============ |
ASSETS
CURRENT ASSETS | ||
Cash | $ 85 | $ 87 |
Short-term investments | 1,706 | 1,448 |
Receivables, less allowance for uncollectible | ||
accounts (1999 - $57; 1998 - $19) | 1,134 | 1,225 |
Inventories, less allowance for obsolescence | ||
(1999 - $279; 1998 - $214) | 708 | 596 |
Deferred income taxes | 612 | 443 |
Other current assets | 179 | 170 |
Total current assets | 4,424 | 3,969 |
EQUIPMENT AND PROPERTY | ||
Flight equipment, at cost | 16,912 | 13,688 |
Less accumulated depreciation | 5,589 | 4,976 |
11,323 | 8,712 | |
Purchase deposits for flight equipment | 1,582 | 1,624 |
Other equipment and property, at cost | 3,247 | 2,999 |
Less accumulated depreciation | 1,814 | 1,669 |
1,433 | 1,330 | |
14,338 | 11,666 | |
EQUIPMENT AND PROPERTY UNDER CAPITAL LEASES | ||
Flight equipment | 3,141 | 3,159 |
Other equipment and property | 155 | 146 |
3,296 | 3,305 | |
Less accumulated amortization | 1,347 | 1,230 |
1,949 | 2,075 | |
OTHER ASSETS | ||
Route acquisition costs, less accumulated amortization | ||
(1999 - $269; 1998 - $240) | 887 | 916 |
Airport operating and gate lease rights, less accumulated amortization | ||
(1999 - $181; 1998 - $161) | 304 | 312 |
Prepaid pension cost | 257 | 304 |
Other | 2,215 | 2,213 |
3,663 | 3,745 | |
TOTAL ASSETS | $ 24,374 | $ 21,455 |
============ | ========= |
Year ended December 31 |
||
1999 | 1998 | |
REVENUES | ||
Passenger - American Airlines, Inc. | $14,707 | $14,695 |
- AMR Eagle | 1,294 | 1,121 |
Cargo | 643 | 656 |
Other revenues | 1,086 | 1,044 |
--------------- | --------------- | |
Total operating revenues | 17,730 | 17,516 |
EXPENSES | ||
Wages, salaries and benefits | 6,120 | 5,793 |
Aircraft fuel | 1,696 | 1,604 |
Commissions to agents | 1,162 | 1,226 |
Depreciation and amortization | 1,092 | 1,040 |
Maintenance, materials and repairs | 1,003 | 935 |
Other rentals and landing fees | 942 | 839 |
Food service | 740 | 675 |
Aircraft rentals | 630 | 569 |
Other operating expenses | 3,189 | 2,847 |
Total operating expenses | 16,574 | 15,528 |
OPERATING INCOME | 1,156 | 1,988 |
OTHER INCOME (EXPENSE) | ||
Interest income | 89 | 114 |
Interest expense | -393 | -372 |
Interest capitalized | 118 | 104 |
Miscellaneous - net | 36 | -1 |
-150 | -155 | |
INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS BEFORE INCOME TAXES | 1,006 | 1,833 |
Income tax provision | 350 | 719 |
Income from continuing operations | 656 | 1,114 |
Income from discontinued operations, net of applicable income | ||
Taxes and Minority Interest | 265 | 200 |
Gain on Sale of Discontinued Operations, net of applicable income | ||
TAXES | 64 | -- |
------------------ | ------------------ | |
NET EARNINGS | $985 | $1,314 |
============ | ============ |
4. (20 points) (Source: Prof. Robert Crawford, http://marriottschool.byu.edu/teacher/MANEC300/Crawford/)
Knowing you would possess a college grade intellect, your parents opened a
savings account for you on your 1st birthday and made monthly deposits
thereafter. Upon enrolling in college on your 19th birthday that account was
valued at $32,000. Market rates of interest averaged 10% during that time
period.
5. (20 points) Read the following article from the March 7, 2001 Wall Street Journal and answer the questions that follow:
Management: Seasoning Compensation Helps TV Operation Improve Morale
BETHESDA, Md. — A few years ago, Mark Kozaki and other executives at Discovery Communications Inc. had a morale problem on their hands.
Some of the company's top achievers were earning the same salaries as slackers in the same position. In other cases, employees doing the same work as colleagues in other parts of the company, which is based in Bethesda, were being paid less.
The only way for managers to reward the workplace stars was to give them a bonus or promote them to another position; Discovery's compensation structure did not allow for big raises for people who remained in the same job.
"People felt that it was unfair," said Mr. Kozaki, who is senior vice president for administration and operations in the United States for Discovery, which owns the Discovery Channel, Animal Planet and 31 other cable networks.
The company found that its compensation structure was not just unfair, it was often counterproductive. Some people accepted promotions to jobs they were not equipped for, while others tried to switch to more generous departments in the company.
And so, in early 1998, Discovery began an overhaul of its compensation policy, switching to a pay-for-performance system that allowed for both big raises and bonuses.
Even though the traditional justification for maintaining a relatively fixed pay structure is to promote a sense of equity among employees, by abandoning it, Mr. Kozaki said, dissension in the ranks soon dissipated.
"It has eliminated many of the concerns about whether there is across- the-board fairness," he said. "There is not as much discussion or wondering or suspicion" as before.
Experts in employee compensation say more companies are shifting away from fixed pay structures that have long been the norm to more flexible performance-driven arrangements like Discovery's.
Though the old practice of keeping pay within narrow boundaries for workers in the same job classification still prevails, an increasing number of managers are realizing that they have to come to grips with the challenge of rewarding their best workers without raising labor costs significantly.
The solution for many companies is to hold automatic pay raises to a minimum, thus punishing mediocre employees, while lavishing merit raises and bonuses on the superstars.
The bonuses are increasingly based on measurements of both the individual's attainments and the company's overall profits and other results.
More than half of the 2,400 companies surveyed in 2000 by William M. Mercer Inc., a human resources consulting firm in New York, reported that they had performance-based incentive programs in place for both management and nonmanagement employees. And 49 percent said that they had increased the number of employees eligible for such programs since 1997.
"It's due to two issues," said Steven E. Gross, who runs the compensation consulting practice at Mercer. "Attraction and retention of good people, and companies trying not to raise their fixed costs."
And by linking bonuses to corporate results as well as individual attainments, he said, companies can share the wealth in good times, but can cut bonuses before jobs in bad times. "It self-corrects some of your costs," he said.
Mr. Gross said some studies suggested that every $1 invested in an employee incentive program could lead to a $2 increase in revenue, but he cautioned that so many variables had to be considered in making that calculation that conclusions were extremely tentative.
Managers, of course, have always been rewarded for doing well, but the expansion of financial incentives into the middle and lower ranks of the organization is a relatively recent phenomenon that has accelerated over the last decade, compensation experts say.
Late in 2000, as just one illustration, the New York law firm of Stroock & Stroock & Lavan announced that it would begin paying bonuses to junior lawyers based on their individual performance, a bounty once reserved for partners only.
At Discovery, which grew so quickly that the compensation structure long went unexamined, Mr. Kozaki said that attrition rates had fallen and complaints from employees were less frequent since the new policy went into effect. "Employees think they are being treated fairly," he said.
Under the old system, an information-technology specialist who was doing good work could not have received a raise when competitors' wages rose for comparable employees unless she was also promoted, said Anthony R. Amato, Discovery's vice president for compensation, benefits and human resources.
Under the new system, the specialist could receive a raise — rewarding good performance and also matching competitors — without being burdened with new management responsibilities that she was not ready for, he said.
"Historically, we weren't separating performance" of the individual employee, that employee's job and the wages paid by competitors from evaluation of that employee's readiness for more responsibility, Mr. Amato said. That meant that employees might be promoted too quickly if they did well or if it was necessary to give them a raise to keep them from defecting.
Now, Discovery provides two types of incentives to workers. First, all employees are eligible for a merit increase in salary. A computer program considers an employee's current base salary and an evaluation by that employee's manager, then recommends a minimum and maximum raise.
Second, every employee is eligible for a year-end bonus, which is a percentage of the employee's base pay. Again, the bonus is based in part on a manager's evaluation, but it incorporates the company's performance, too.
Sherner Sumter is an executive assistant who has worked at Discovery for a year and a half. Under the new pay structure, she is eligible for both a raise based on her manager's evaluation of her job performance and for a bonus of up to 10 percent of her salary. Her boss's evaluation of how well she does her job and how eagerly she shows initiative and takes on new responsibilities accounts for 80 percent of the potential bonus, while 10 percent is based on how her division does, and a final 10 percent is based on how the company as a whole does.
"It helps you to be motivated," Ms. Sumter said. The lure of higher pay has prompted her to take on "a lot of different projects" that she might otherwise not seek out, she said, like developing a system that allowed her department to respond more quickly and efficiently to requests from different networks. It has also inspired her to speak up more on ways her department could streamline some of its operations.
"I might go in and say, `What can we do to improve the way we manage the data?' " she said.
The technology that Discovery has developed to link individual bonuses to divisionwide and corporatewide performance sets the company apart, said Russell H. Miller, a partner at S.C.A. Consulting, a compensation adviser that helped Discovery come up with the structure — though not the computer system — for its compensation.
"They're on the leading edge of integrating those systems fully," he said, adding that S.C.A. did not have the technical skill to develop Discovery's system. "They are more sophisticated than I typically come across."
Discovery used Lotus Notes to develop a database that could take into consideration managers' evaluations of employees, overall corporate performance and employees' responsibilities to recommend a minimum and maximum bonus for individual employees.
Before the adoption of the new program, employees received an annual cost-of-living adjustment to their wages, usually a little above the rate of inflation for that year, said the company's president and chief operating officer, Judith A. McHale.
Although employees could receive bonuses, the only way to receive a raise was to be promoted.
Such promotions are not necessarily a good thing, Ms. McHale said, because doing one thing well does not necessarily mean that an employee is ready to be promoted to manage several people doing the same thing.
"We needed to be able to, within a job category, acknowledge that there are different levels of performance," she said.
The hard part of overhauling compensation is deciding how loud a message to send, Mr. Miller said. Overrewarding star performers could backfire by causing jealousy among co-workers and eroding their productivity, he said. And it is probably still too early to know whether Discovery's new incentive structure, which is still in its infancy, will have an adverse effect.
"The key is to make sure that you have a system or process that gives you the highest likelihood of success of accurate differentiation," Mr. Miller said. "The less arbitrary it is and the more objective it is, the better."
Some resentment is probably inevitable, though, in any system that ranks some people as more valuable than others, he said. Whether such a system is fair, he added, "is a philosophical decision."
1a. The covariance between the returns on the Wilshire 5000 and the
return on Nokia should be higher than the covariance between the return
on the Wilshire 5000 and the return on Glaverbel. This follows from
the explanation in the article that "(t)hat's because the stocks of large
international companies, whether it is Nokia Corp. or Toyota Motor Corp.,
move more and more in tandem with their U.S. peers." Nokia is a large
company, while Glaverbel is not (it's traded on the Belgian stock exchange,
which, by and large, has no large companies listed).
1b. This is no disproof of Mr. Treich's hypothesis. The 9.8%
indicates the outcome in one instance, and that, too, in situations where
the entire market was falling. A better test would be to look at
the volatility of the return on a portfolio that was partly invested in
Mr. Treich's fund relative to one that was wholly invested in US stocks,
or perhaps partly invested in US stocks and partly in large foreign companies.
1c. The appropriate measure of risk of the two funds would be the covariance
of their returns with a large diversified US portfolio, such as the Wilshire
5000.
2. Using the formula in the text, we have
Var(Rp) = (0.5)2(11.29)2 + (0.3)2(10.94)2
+
(0.2)2(8.9)2 + 2(0.5)(0.3)(11.29)(10.94)(0.47) +
2(0.3)(0.2)(10.94)(8.9)(0.55) + 2(0.2)(0.5)(11.29)(8.9)(0.44) = 78.4897.
Hence the standard deviation of portfolio returns is the square root of
this number, or 8.86%.
3. Using the information in the section on "Leases," and using the assumption that the promised operating lease payments for 2005 and beyond are equally distributed from 2005 to 2016 to impute yearly lease payment amounts from 2000 to 2016; we then discount the imputed amounts using the rate of 9.597% as suggested in the problem.
Year Ending 12/31 | Operating Leases |
Imputed yearly amount |
PV | |
2000 | 2000 | $1,015 | $1,015 | 926.3485 |
2001 | 2001 | $1,006 | $1,006 | 837.9433 |
2002 | 2002 | $952 | $952 | 723.7057 |
2003 | 2003 | $965 | $965 | 669.5155 |
2004 | 2004 | $954 | $954 | 604.0739 |
2005 and beyond |
2005 | $12169 | $1,014 | 586.0352 |
2006 | $1,014 | 534.85 | ||
2007 | $1,014 | 488.1355 | ||
2008 | $1,014 | 445.501 | ||
2009 | $1,014 | 406.5903 | ||
2010 | $1,014 | 371.0781 | ||
2011 | $1,014 | 338.6676 | ||
2012 | $1,014 | 309.0879 | ||
2013 | $1,014 | 282.0917 | ||
2014 | $1,014 | 257.4535 | ||
2015 | $1,014 | 234.9671 | ||
2016 | $1,014 | 214.4447 | ||
Total | $17,061 | $8,230 |
This gives us a capitalized operating lease amount of $8,230 million.
Note: The present value of the operating lease payments from 2005 to
2016 can also be computed using the PV of an annuity formula:
(1014/0.0957)[1-(1.0957-12)]/1.09575.
In order to obtain the Adjusted Operating Income, we use Damodaran's assumption that the interest expense on the debt created by converting operating leases will be equal to the difference between the operating lease expense and the depreciation of the asset created by the operating leases. This implies that
Adjusted Operating Income = Operating Income + Imputed Interest expense on operating leases = $1,156 + 8,230(0.0957) = $1943.61 million.
4. a. The future value (i.e. at age 19) of your parents' deposits is
$32000. The deposits are being made monthly starting at the beginning of
the second year. Hence, treating that date as time 0, i.e. 18 years
prior to your enrolling in college), the present value of those deposits is
(32000)/(1.1)18 = $5755.48. The effective annual rate is 10%,
hence the effective monthly rate is (1.1)(1/12) -1 = 0.797%.
Suppose the monthly payments were $C, then we can equate this to C +
[C/0.007974][1-1.007974-(18x12-1)]. (Keep in mind that 1/x
= x-1). Solving, we find C = $55.52.
b. Since tuition would be paid at the beginning of the semester, we would have
the equivalent of 1 immediate payment and 7 additional end-of-semester
payments. Now the effective annual rate is still 10%; hence the
effective semi-annual rate is (1.1)0.5 -1 = 4.88%. This time,
we solve $32000 = C + [C/0.0488][1-1.0488-7], to get C =
$4697.98. Unfortunately, this would hardly pay tuition at Pace these
days!
c. If, instead of using your parents' savings, you borrowed these $4697.98
every beginning-of-semester, at an effective annual interest rate of 8%, i.e.
an effective semi-annual rate of (1.08)0.5 - 1 or 3.92%, we would
have to pay back at the end of the 4 years, an amount equal to {4697.98 +
[4697.98/0.0392][1-1.0392-7]}(1.08)4 = $44,863.31.
The break even annual rate of return on your investments would, therefore, be
(44,863.31/32000)1/4 -1 or 8.81%.
If the probability of a zero return in each year were 50%, and the probability
of a non-zero return of y% were also 50%, at the end of the four years,
you'd have, on average, (1+y)(1+y)(1+0.00)(1.00) or (1+y)2.
Equating this to 1.08814, we find that y = 18.405%.
5. a. The article suggests that the employee's performance would be
measured by his/her manager's evaluation; this is much more subjective than a
stock price observation. This makes it much more difficult a goal for
the employee to shoot for, than the stock price is, for top management.
On the other hand, it might be argued that the link between the employee's
performance and his/her manager's evaluation is more direct, and subject to
less noise, than a top manager's performance and the stock price.
b. The switch to performance-related bonuses should decrease the stock beta,
since employee payments will be more highly correlated with stock
returns. Fixed employee salaries are like debt and increase effective
leverage.
1. You are trying to evaluate whether United Airlines has any excess debt capacity. In 1995, UAL had 12.2 million shares outstanding at $210 per share and debt outstanding of approximately $3 billion (book as well as market value). The debt had a rating of B and carried a market interest rate of 10.12%. In addition, the firm had leases outstanding, with annual lease payments anticipated to be $150 million. The beta of the stock is 1.26, and the firm faces a tax rate of 35%. The treasury bond rate is 6.12%.
BALA CYNWYD, Pa. -- Pegasus Communications Corp.'s (PGTV) Pegasus Satellite Communications Inc. unit filed a registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a proposed exchange offer.
The offer is aimed at simplifying the company's capital structure and will allow more flexibility under its existing debt covenants.
Pegasus said in a press release Thursday it will offer 12 3/8% senior notes due 2006 in exchange for 12 3/8% series A and series B senior subordinated notes due 2006 of Golden Sky Systems Inc.
Pegasus will also offer 13 1/2% senior subordinated discount notes due 2007 in exchange for 13 1/2% series B senior discount notes due 2007 of Golden Sky DBS Inc.
Golden Sky Systems and Golden Sky DBS are both units of Pegasus Satellite.
Pegasus said it is also soliciting consents of Golden Sky Systems and Golden Sky DBS note holders for proposed amendments to their notes indentures.
Pegasus shares recently traded at $20.51, up 1 cent, on Nasdaq volume of 9,000 shares. Average daily volume is 448,410 shares.
Pegasus is a media company.
___________________________________Here is some additional information on Pegasus that may be useful to you:
Firm Profile:
Pegasus is an independent distributor of DIRECTV with 1.1 million subscribers at February 29, 2000. The Company has the exclusive right to distribute DIRECTV digital broadcast satellite services to over 7.2 million rural households in 41 states. The Company distributes DIRECTV through the Pegasus retail network, a network in excess of 2,500 independent retailers. The company is also the owner or programmer of ten television stations affiliated with either Fox, UPN or the WB.
____________________________________
Use the information provided below on Teligent, Inc. to answer the following
three questions. (Assume a market risk premium of 6.38%, and a riskfree rate of
5.74%):
4. (10 points) What can you say about the optimal debt-to-equity ratio for Teligent, Inc. today?
5. (10 points) What would you have said about the optimal debt-to-equity ratio for Teligent, Inc. at the end of 1997? You may assume that Teligent's line of business has not changed since its inception.__________________________________________________________________________
Relevant Information on Teligent:
__________________________________________________________________________
A. Firm Profile on Teligent Inc. (Class A) (TGNT) (http://interactive.wsj.com,
April 30, 2001)
Teligent, Inc. is a full-service, facilities-based communications company that
offers small and medium-sized business customers local and long distance
telephony, high-speed data, and Internet access services over its digital
SmartWave local networks. Teligent's SmartWave local networks integrate advanced
fixed wireless technologies with traditional broadband wireline technology. The
Company's digital wireless technology provides many of the advantages of fiber
and can transport information within the network at up to 155 Megabits per
second, via a point-to-point radio.
SELECTED FINANCIAL DATAThe selected financial data presented below as of December 31, 2000, 1999, 1998, 1997 and 1996 and for the years ended December 31, 2000, 1999, 1998, 1997 and the period from March 5, 1996 (date of inception) to December 31, 1996, were derived from our audited financial statements. You should read this data together with "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" and our audited financial statements and related notes, included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Years ended
December 31 (In thousands, except per share data) |
2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
Date of inception to Dec. 31, 1996 |
Statement of Operations Data: (1) | |||||
Revenues | $152,072 | $31,304 | $960 | $3,311 | $1,386 |
Cost and expenses: | |||||
Cost of services | 325,119 | 207,538 | 79,342 | 10,229 | 1,625 |
Sales, general and administrative | 262,806 | 205,589 | 123,958 | 33,854 | 8,290 |
Restructuring and asset impairment | 34,585 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Stock-based and other noncash compensation | 28,377 | 31,451 | 32,164 | 89,111 | 4,071 |
Depreciation and amortization | 133,544 | 45,742 | 14,193 | 6,454 | 164 |
--------- | --------- | --------- | --------- | --------- | |
Total costs and expenses | 784,431 | 490,320 | 249,657 | 139,648 | 14,150 |
--------- | --------- | --------- | --------- | --------- | |
Loss from operations | -632,359 | -459,016 | -248,697 | -136,337 | -12,764 |
Interest income | 25,052 | 18,933 | 34,510 | 3,246 | -- |
Interest expense | -133,286 | -88,347 | -66,880 | -4,954 | -879 |
Equity in losses of international ventures | -6,605 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Other expense | -60,788 | -483 | -404 | -9 | 10 |
--------- | --------- | --------- | --------- | --------- | |
Net loss | ($807,986) | ($528,913) | ($281,471) | ($138,054) | ($13,633) |
--------- | --------- | --------- | --------- | --------- | |
Accrued preferred stock dividends | -41,870 | -2,906 | -- | -- | -- |
--------- | --------- | --------- | --------- | --------- | |
Net loss applicable to common stockholders | ($849,856) | ($531,819) | ($281,471) | ($138,054) | ($13,633) |
========= | ========= | ========= | ========= | ========= | |
Basic and diluted net loss per common share | ($14.19) | ($9.95) | ($5.35) | ($2.94) | ($0.29) |
Weighted average common shares outstanding | 59,897 | 53,423 | 52,597 | 46,951 | 46,258 |
OTHER DATA: | |||||
EBITDA (2) | ($435,853) | ($381,823) | ($202,340) | ($40,772) | ($8,529) |
Cash used in operating activities | -669,116 | -313,379 | -76,628 | -33,260 | -6,046 |
Cash used in investing activities | -296,385 | -354,774 | -153,621 | -115,755 | -3,709 |
Cash provided by financing activities | 785,763 | 692,199 | 221,595 | 572,613 | 11,058 |
2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | |
BALANCE SHEET DATA (In thousands): | |||||
Cash and cash equivalents | $ 260,555 | $440,293 | $416,247 | $ 424,901 | $ 1,303 |
Working capital (deficit) | 249,750 | 342,706 | 302,408 | 441,316 | (6,978) |
Property and equipment, net | 560,534 | 402,989 | 180,726 | 8,186 | 3,545 |
Intangible assets, net | 187,976 | 96,418 | 83,857 | 60,354 | - |
Total assets | 1,209,476 | 1,131,843 | 763,434 | 607,380 | 19,145 |
Long-term debt, less current portion | 1,435,070 | 808,799 | 576,058 | 300,000 | - |
Convertible redeemable preferred stock | 520,658 | 478,788 | - | - | - |
Stockholders' (deficit) equity | (960,585) | (441,917) | 31,053 | 285,146 | 10,425 |
(1)
Certain amounts in the prior periods' financial statements have been
reclassified to conform to the current year's presentation.
(2) EBITDA
consists of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization,
stock-based and other non-cash compensation charges and restructuring and asset
impairment charges. While not a measure under generally accepted accounting
principles ("GAAP"), EBITDA is a measure commonly used in the
telecommunications industry, and we include it to help you understand our
operating results. Although you should not assume that EBITDA is a substitute
for operating income determined in accordance with GAAP, we present it to
provide additional information about our ability to meet future debt service,
capital expenditures and working capital requirements. See the Financial
Statements and the related notes. Since all companies and analysts do not
calculate these non-GAAP measurements the same way, the amount may not be
comparable to other calculations.
C.
Additional Information on the firm's debt and Preferred Stock
(Source: http://www.10kwizard.com,
3/30/2001)
MATURITIES OF DEBT
Maturities of
long-term debt at December 31, 2000 are as follows (in
thousands):
2002...............................................
$ 50,520
2003...............................................
110,267
2004...............................................
135,731
2005...............................................
139,555
Thereafter.........................................
998,997
----------
$1,435,070
Long-term debt consists of the following (in thousands):
DECEMBER
31,
-------------------------
2000
1999
----------- ---------
11.5% Senior Notes due
2007......................... $
300,000 $300,000
11.5% Senior Discount
Notes due 2008................345,331
308,799
Credit
Facility..................................... 789,739
200,000
----------- ---------
$1,435,070
$808,799
===========
=========
The Credit Facility is
structured into three separate tranches consisting of
a term loan facility, a delayed draw term loan facility and a revolving credit
facility, each of which has a final maturity of eight years. Interest accrues on
$575.0 million of outstanding borrowings based on a floating rate tied to the
prevailing LIBOR rate and adjusts based on the attainment of certain key revenue
and leverage benchmarks. The remaining $214.7 million accrued interest at a
fixed rate of 11.125% per annum. The Company incurred commitment and other fees
in connection with obtaining the Credit Facility totaling $19.9 million, which
is being amortized over eight years. The Credit Facility contains certain
financial and other covenants that restrict, among other things, the Company's
ability to (a) incur or create additional debt, (b) enter into mergers or
consolidations, (c) dispose of a significant amount of assets, (d) pay cash
dividends, or (e) change the nature of its business. The amounts outstanding
under the Credit Facility are subject to mandatory prepayments in certain
circumstances.
FAIR VALUE OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
The fair value of the
Company's financial instruments classified as current
assets or liabilities, and investments approximate their carrying value. At
December 31, 2000, the estimated fair value and carrying amounts of the
Company's Senior Notes, Senior Discount Notes and the Company's Series A
cumulative convertible redeemable preferred stock, par value, $.01 per share
("Series A Preferred Stock") are as follows (in thousands):
FAIR VALUE CARRYING
AMOUNT
---------- ---------------
Senior
Notes......................................
$40,500
$ 300,000
Senior Discount
Notes............................. $37,400
$ 345,331
Series A Preferred
Stock.......................... $18,185
$ 520,658
The Series A Preferred
Stock has an annual dividend rate of 7 3/4% payable
quarterly and dividends are cumulative from the date of issuance. Dividends must
be paid in additional shares of Series A Preferred Stock through December 3,
2004, and may be paid in either cash or additional shares of Series A Preferred
Stock, at the option of the Company, thereafter.
The Series A Preferred
Stock is convertible into Class A Common Stock by the
holders at any time at a initial conversion price of $57.50, but may be called
by the Company after five years and, if still outstanding, must be redeemed in
2014. The holders of the Series A Preferred Stock have voting rights equal to
the rights held by holders of Class A Common Stock.
COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES
In May 2000, the
Company announced a comprehensive network services
agreement (the "Network Services Agreement") with Level 3
Communications, Inc.
("Level 3"). Under the Network Services Agreement, the Company will
acquire dark
fiber and other assets. At December 31, 2000, the Company had recorded $6.6
million of assets acquired under capitalized leases related to this agreement.
Commitments for additional capital expenditures totaling $54.1 million at
December 31, 2000 are as follows (in thousands):
2001........................................................
$ 31,957
2002........................................................
5,134
2003........................................................
5,134
2004........................................................
5,134
2005........................................................
5,134
Thereafter..................................................
1,574
---------------
$ 54,067
===============
The Company leases
various operating sites, rooftops, storage, and
administrative offices under operating leases. Rent expense was $58.1 million,
$28.0 million and $10.9 million for the years ended December 31, 2000, 1999 and
1998, respectively. Future minimum lease payments by year, and in the aggregate,
at December 31, 2000, are as follows (in thousands):
2001........................................................
$ 64,099
2002........................................................
61,543
2003........................................................
57,270
2004........................................................
45,765
2005........................................................
28,105
Thereafter..................................................
80,827
---------------
$ 337,609
===============
__________________________________________________________________________
D. Bond Rating and Other Information (Source: Bridge Information Services, April 30, 2001)
Moody’s Rating: Ca S&P Rating: CC
Yield-to-maturity on Senior Note, maturing 3/1/2008: 195.075% Yield-to-maturity on Senior Note, maturing 12/01/07: 704.297%
__________________________________________________________________________
E. Consolidated Balance Sheet (Source: http://biz.yahoo.com,
April 30, 2001)2000 | 1999 | |
ASSETS | ||
Current assets: | ||
Cash and cash equivalents | $ 260,555 | $ 440,293 |
Short-term investments | 96,635 | 116,610 |
Accounts receivable, net | 37,267 | 12,673 |
Prepaid expenses and other current assets | 28,394 | 17,914 |
Restricted cash and other investments | 5,374 | 38,224 |
-------------- | -------------- | |
Total current assets | 428,225 | 625,714 |
Property and equipment, net | 560,534 | 402,989 |
Intangible assets, net | 187,976 | 96,418 |
Investments in and advances to
international ventures and other assets |
32,741 | 6,722 |
Total assets | $ 1,209,476 | $ 1,131,843 |
============== | ============== | |
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' DEFICIT | ||
Current liabilities: | ||
Accounts payable | $ 107,410 | $ 239,139 |
Accrued expenses and other | 71,065 | 43,869 |
Total current liabilities | 178,475 | 283,008 |
Long-term debt | 1,435,070 | 808,799 |
Other noncurrent liabilities | 35,858 | 3,165 |
Series A cumulative convertible
redeemable preferred stock |
520,658 | 478,788 |
Stockholders' deficit: | ||
Common stock | 637 | 547 |
Additional paid-in capital | 808,835 | 519,607 |
Accumulated deficit | (1,770,057) | (962,071) |
-------------- | -------------- | |
Total stockholders' deficit | (960,585) | (441,917) |
Total liabilities and stockholders' deficit | $ 1,209,476 | $ 1,131,843 |
__________________________________________________________________________
F. Other Information (Source: http://biz.yahoo.com/p/t/tgnt.html,
April 30, 2001) Beta: 2.91
Closing Stock Price: 69 cents.
__________________________________________________________________________
G. Teligent Ousts CEO, Monday April 30 6:49 PM ET, Associated Press
VIENNA, Va. (AP) - Teligent Inc., a provider of local wireless networks, announced the ouster of its chief executive Monday as it confirmed IDT had acquired a stake in the company. The company also said it received a debt extension.
The Vienna-based company said IDT Corp., an international telecommunications carrier, bought a nearly 34 percent interest in Teligent from AT&T Corp.'s Liberty Media unit last week.
The acknowledgement came as Teligent said in a statement that former AT&T executive Alex Mandl ``will not continue'' as chairman and chief executive. Yoav Krill, managing director of IDT's European division, was named chief operating officer and acting CEO. IDT chairman, CEO and treasurer Howard Jonas was appointed as chairman of Teligent's board of directors.
Teligent also said its creditors agreed to extend until May 15 a Monday deadline to obtain $350 million in additional financing. The company received the extension from Chase Manhattan Bank, Goldman Sachs Credit Partners, Toronto Dominion Bank and other lenders, company spokesman Mike Kraft said Monday.
``We needed additional funds as a company,'' Kraft said. ``The banks lifted the ceiling in terms of the amount of debt the company could take on.''
The company had until Monday to supply documentation on vendor financing of at least $250 million, and convertible notes totaling at least $100 million.
That deadline was pushed from April 30 to May 15. If Teligent misses the new deadline, it will be in default.
Shares of Teligent rose 22 cents to close at 69 cents per share Monday on the Nasdaq Stock Market.
1. a. Current market value of equity = 12.2(210) = 2562. If we capitalize lease payments at the same rate as the debt, we get a present value of 150.0/0.1012 = 1482. This is a high estimate, since the actual life of the lease payments is probably lower. The market value of the debt itself is 3000m. Hence, the debt/equity ratio = (1482+3000)/2562 = 1.75, or a debt ratio of 0.6364.
b. The cost of equity = .0612 + 1.26(0.055) = 0.1305. The WACC = (0.6364)(1-0.35)10.12% + (0.3636)13.05% = 8.93%
c. The current beta = 1.26; the unlevered beta = . Hence the levered beta at a debt ratio of 30% = 0.5895(1+(1-0.35)(0.3/0.7) = 0.7537; the cost of equity = .0612 + 0.7537(.055) = 0.10265. The WACC = (0.3)(1-0.35)(.0812) + (0.7)(.10265) = 8.77%. The firm value at this optimum = (2562+1482+3000)[1+(.0893-.0877)/0.0877] = 7173.1423m. (which includes the capitalized value of lease payments).
d. Yes, if 1995 operating income was depressed, the estimated bond rating is probably biased downwards. Hence, the true firm value is probably higher.
2. a. The proposed debt exchange should not change the leverage ratio, at least the leverage ratio based on market value. This is because existing bondholders will not be willing to accept new bonds with a value lower than the price of the old bonds. However, if the company, acting on behalf of shareholders wants to do the swap badly enough, they might be willing to offer new bonds worth more than the value of the old bonds. This might increase the leverage ratio. However, the leverage ratio might also go down. The reason for this has to do with why the firm is interested in the debt exchange. Since many of the existing restrictive covenants would be eliminated with the new bonds, there would be more flexibility for the managers; they might, therefore, be able to finance positive NPV projects that they might have had to forego under the old setup. This would raise the value of the existing shares. Whether the leverage ratio will increase or not will depend on how much of this increased value, the shareholders will have to give up to bondholders in order to induce them to accept the exchange.
b. The increased flexibility will allow managers to do various things that they would not have been able to, previously. For example, they can now take on additional debt (cf. the second covenant in the list); they can pay additional dividends (cf. the third covenant in the list); the manager can enter businesses that were formerly prohibited. As explained in the webnotes, these could all be used to expropriate bondholder wealth.
3. One way to compute the cost of capital is to calculate a weighted-average cost of capital. The case of Teligent is problematic in several respects. One the one hand, we have estimates of the market value of several portions of the debt and the convertible preferred equity. On the other hand, the firm is clearly in financial distress, and this has to be taken into account.
Let us look at the different categories of capital in the firm's balance sheet:
Type | Book Value | Market Value | Cost of capital |
Convertible Redeemable Preferred Stock | 520,658 | 18,185 | 24.30 3 |
Equity | (960,585) | 41,328 | 24.30 3 |
Senior notes (maturing 3/1/2008) | 345,331 | 37,400 | 16.125% 2 |
Senior notes (maturing 12/01/07) | 300,000 | 40,500 | 16.125% 2 |
Fixed rate portion of Credit Facility | 214,700 | 149,8001 | 13.625% 2 |
Floating rate portion of Credit Facility | 575,000 | 575,0001 | 12.375% 2 |
Total | 862,213 |
1 The senior notes have lost about 88% of their value, having been issued (from the Selected Financial Information in Section B) in 1997 and 1998. The credit facility increased from $200,000 in 1999 to $789,739 in 2000; given the gradually deteriorating circumstances of the firm, it may be reasonably conjectured that the fixed part of the Credit Facility was obtained in 1999, with the floating part having been negotiated in 2000. If 88% of the senior notes value was lost over 1998-2000, and the firm was deteriorating exponentially, one way to estimate the decrease in value would be to guess that the rate of decline double from year to year; this would give us a value decline of 88*(2/3) or approximately 60% in the first year and 28% in the second year. This would give a market value of the fixed part of the credit facility of (214,700)*(0.7) = $149,800. Since the coupon on the floating rate part is recomputed every year, and since it probably has the greatest seniority, it is not unreasonable to assume that its market value is close to its book value.
2 Regarding the debt, we see that the yields are very high. However, this is computed with respect to promised payments; hence if we use the market value of these bonds, then the YTM numbers are irrelevant; it would be more appropriate to use a yield on comparable debt recently issued, if available. The most recent portion of the firm's debt seems to be the credit facility, as can be seen by comparing the figures for 1999 and 2000 in section C providing additional information on the firm's debt and preferred stock. This credit facility has two components: one part, which pays interest using a floating rate tied to LIBOR, and the second part, which has a fixed rate of 11.125%. Given the fact that the credit facility was negotiated fairly recently, and given that there are a lot of covenants tied to the facility including mandatory prepayments in certain circumstances, it is likely that this part of the firm's liabilities will have decreased in value, the least; and of the two parts, the floating rate part would be more resistant to value loss.
The market yields on the firm's floating rate portion is 11.125% at a minimum. However, it is probably not very much higher than that, given that short-term investments of $428,225 and Property, Plant and Equipment valued at book of $560,534. Given that rating spreads seem to jump by about 1.25% for each drop in the rating of bonds (information on spreads not provided in the exam), the yield on the floating rate portion may be estimated to be 12.375%, with an additional 2.5% tacked on for the fixed part of the credit facility, and a higher 5% tacked on for the other types of debt, which seem to have less protection (if we assume the corresponding ratings differentials between the different kinds of debt). Of course, we do not have much information on which to base ourselves; these figures are more in the nature of educated guesses. On the other hand, since the floating rate part of the credit facility accounts for the largest part of the value of all the liabilities, the final cost of capital estimate will be fairly robust to our estimates of the costs of capital of the other liability categories. This yields 13.625% for the fixed part of the credit facility and 16.125 for the senior notes.
3 If we use the CAPM, and the beta of 2.91 provided from Yahoo, we would get a cost of capital of 5.74 + 2.91(6.38) = 24.30%; as conjectured above, the firm would probably call the convertible preferred, and so it would make sense to just add it to the straight equity for our computational purposes. Nevertheless, the 2.91 beta value from Yahoo is based upon the past, and may be an under-estimate. On the other hand, the firm is probably going to revise its operating plan to a less risky one; hence we are justified in staying with a beta value of 2.91 for now.
It must also be noted that the firm has additional commitments in the form of operating leases, which should be considered equivalent to debt. We have not explicitly taken these into account. If we did, this would increase the cost of capital somewhat.
Also, the before-tax cost of debt is also the same as the after-tax cost of debt, since the firm is far from having any taxable income.
The category market value weights are (18,185+41,328)/862,213 = 0.069 for equity; (37,400+40,500)/862,213 = 0.09 for the lower rated categories of debt; 149,800/862,213 or 0.174 for the fixed part of the credit facility debt, and 575000/862,213 or 0.667 for the floating part of the credit facility. The estimated weighted average cost of capital works out to 0.069(24.3) + 0.09(16.125) + 0.174(13.625) + 0.667(12.375) = 13.75%.
Although this seems to be a very low figure for a firm in financial distress, the news item in Section G that reports a 34% purchase of Teligent's equity and imminent vendor financing and convertible notes indicates that Teligent is still very much a going concern, and hence that a 13.75% cost of capital is defensible.
Another way of looking at the reasonableness of this figure is to compute the implicit asset beta. In our case, this works out to (13.75-6.75)/6.83 or 1.02. This does seem to be somewhat low, although it must be realized that we are now discussing asset betas and not stock betas. If we wish to raise the asset beta to 1.20 (a 20% increase), this would raise the cost of capital for the firm to about 13.95%, which is still in the same ballpark.
4. The firm is clearly over-leveraged, especially if we take into account the nature of the firm's operations and the nature of the firm's assets. Considering furthermore the volatility of income that the firm has operating losses, there are no tax advantages of debt for the foreseeable future. However, the firm needs financing in the short run, in order to continue to operate. Issuing equity at this time is unlikely to be an inexpensive operation. Hence it would make sense to obtain short- or medium-term debt financing right now. Vendor financing could be justified on the same terms, i.e. expediency.
5. The undesirability of debt in the firm's capital structure today is no different from the situation at the end of 1997. At that time, the prospects of the firm were much better. However, the nature of the firm's cashflow was still very volatile, and the firm had a lot of growth options. Hence, it would have been difficult to justify debt even then. An argument could have been made for vendor financing in terms of risk-sharing with vendors.